Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.245177 0.287754 0.338214 0.403179 0.485718 0.588642 0.729227
2025-01-12 0.184399 0.236940 0.307544 0.412536 0.570637 0.810721 1.227211
2025-01-19 0.146433 0.200022 0.278608 0.408575 0.632390 1.034831 1.912134
2025-01-26 0.125092 0.179285 0.264537 0.418717 0.717908 1.350394 3.109407
2025-02-02 0.111085 0.165695 0.256863 0.435237 0.821839 1.781718 5.284746
2025-02-09 0.099739 0.153697 0.248329 0.446405 0.920519 2.294746 9.043374
2025-02-16 0.091178 0.144607 0.242542 0.460698 1.035267 2.988943 16.652730
2025-02-23 0.083572 0.135790 0.235177 0.468959 1.140678 3.809458 31.860930
2025-03-02 0.076846 0.127471 0.227010 0.472703 1.237322 4.776463 65.154674
2025-03-09 0.070635 0.119205 0.217347 0.469813 1.313135 5.823090 142.161770
2025-03-16 0.064723 0.110738 0.205780 0.458663 1.355149 6.808429 324.322376
2025-03-23 0.061513 0.107186 0.204341 0.475041 1.518603 9.230691 1996.545945
2025-03-30 0.056754 0.100038 0.193849 0.463132 1.560823 10.885710 17707.275994
2025-04-06 0.053652 0.095981 0.189970 0.470541 1.704006 14.540118 NaN
2025-04-13 0.050181 0.090762 0.182517 0.464683 1.780610 18.042725 NaN
2025-04-20 0.047946 0.087942 0.180496 0.476353 1.969918 25.724003 NaN
2025-04-27 0.046252 0.086104 0.180642 0.495851 2.236108 40.403407 NaN
2025-05-04 0.044424 0.083763 0.179115 0.509093 2.486602 63.263307 NaN
2025-05-11 0.042875 0.081890 0.178541 0.526102 2.800049 109.272773 NaN
2025-05-18 0.041190 0.079530 0.176287 0.535949 3.081337 189.560799 NaN
2025-05-25 0.039466 0.076914 0.172946 0.540416 3.332492 335.559256 NaN
2025-06-01 0.037644 0.073905 0.168084 0.536966 3.509261 575.930010 NaN
2025-06-08 0.035689 0.070421 0.161423 0.523672 3.566623 879.971479 NaN